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England vs Argentina: our semi-final tip

Wednesday 15 July · 8pm BST · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

England edged past Norway 2-1 after extra time to book their semi-final spot; Argentina got past Switzerland to set up the rematch of Kane against Messi in what could be either man’s last World Cup. Both sides have won ugly rather than pretty through the knockouts, and the market agrees: this is priced as a tight, low-scoring night — England +165 to win in 90, Argentina +200, the draw +190 on most books, with the Under favoured on the goals line.

Stray Offside tip

Under 2.5 total goals

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